If Obi and Kwankwaso Move to NDC, ADC Will Collapse
If Obi and Kwankwaso Move to NDC, ADC Will Collapse
The reported move of Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso to the National Democratic Congress (NDC) is set to shake up Nigerian politics ahead of the 2027 elections. If this move becomes final, the African Democratic Congress (ADC) may find it impossible to survive. Simply put, ADC has no strong base of its own, and without Obi and Kwankwaso, it has little to offer.
ADC’s Problem: No Depth, No Real Followers
ADC only became popular because people hoped it would form an alliance with big political names. Now that Obi and Kwankwaso are leaving, the party will lose public trust and attention. Unlike big parties like the APC or PDP, ADC has no governors, no strong state structures, and no loyal voter base. Once its top figures are gone, the party will quickly fall apart.
Most of the remaining ADC members will likely rush to join the NDC or the APC. History shows that small parties in Nigeria rarely survive after their leaders leave. ADC is no exception.
Why Obi and Kwankwaso Are Stronger Without ADC
Peter Obi remains hugely popular, especially among young Nigerians and those who want real change. His supporters are not just talk; they are organized, active, and ready to vote. Rabiu Kwankwaso, on the other hand, controls the famous Kwankwasiyya movement in the North, a loyal and massive voting bloc. Together, they bring a mix of southern youth energy and northern grassroots strength that no other opposition figure can match.
If they fully unite under the NDC, they will form a powerful opposition force that can challenge the APC head-on. That means Nigeria could soon have just two major political sides: APC and NDC. In such a race, ADC will be completely forgotten.
What About Atiku and the PDP?
Atiku Abubakar’s influence will also suffer under this new alignment. In 2023, his strength came from PDP governors and the party’s structure across states. ADC has none of that – no governors, no real machinery — DonAza
