Why Tinubu and APC cannot defeat Adeleke in 2026
Why Tinubu and APC cannot defeat Adeleke in 2026
By Citizen Bola Bankole
As Osun gears up for the 2026 governorship election, the political calculations are becoming clearer — and the odds are heavily stacked against Tinubu and the APC. Here’s why unseating Governor Ademola Adeleke may be nearly impossible:
1️⃣ A Legacy of Poor Governance Under APC
Osun people have not forgotten the years of APC administration marked by unpaid salaries, abandoned projects, debts, and policies that strained workers and local communities. Many residents still blame past APC leadership for the state’s economic stagnation.
2️⃣ Oyetola’s Heavy Defeat Still Fresh
In the last election, former Governor Gboyega Oyetola was convincingly defeated at the polls despite incumbency power. That loss wasn’t accidental — it was a clear rejection of APC’s governance record. The political wounds from that defeat are still open within the party.
3️⃣ Adeleke’s Strong Grassroots Hold
Adeleke’s bond with the grassroots remains unbroken. Markets, rural communities, civil servants, artisans — his support is deep and widespread.
4️⃣ Youth Power Still with Adeleke
The youth demographic in Osun remains firmly behind Adeleke. His relatable style, visibility, and people-friendly governance continue to attract new supporters.
5️⃣ APC’s Ongoing Internal Crisis
Factional battles continue to weaken APC from within. Without unity, building a strong challenge against a popular incumbent becomes even harder.
6️⃣ Performance Advantage
Adeleke enters 2026 with completed projects, ongoing infrastructure works, welfare initiatives, and a governance style that citizens can feel and measure.
7️⃣ A Strengthened Political Machinery
Since taking power, Adeleke has expanded his political network, consolidated alliances, and grown his influence across all zones of the state.
From every political indicator, Tinubu and APC are heading toward one of their toughest contests in Osun — and 2026 may not bring the victory they desire.
